Crisis overview and projections
The people of South Sudan continue to face a complex humanitarian crisis, driven by escalating violence, economic instability, climatic shocks, and lack of or poor-quality basic services. This has led to acute food insecurity, disease outbreaks, and limited humanitarian access to people in need. In 2024, an estimated 9 million( including refugees) people, including 2 million women and 4.6 million children will need critical humanitarian assistance and protection. Conflict, insecurity and climatic shocks remain the primary drivers of humanitarian needs. Inter-communal violence, crime, and impunity have led to displacement and restricted access to basic services. Over 90 per cent of civilian casualties in early 2023 resulted from inter-communal violence. Forced migration compounds these issues, with over 2 million internally displaced and more than 2.2 million refugees, in addition to 333,300 refugees hosted within South Sudan. The conflict in Sudan in April 2023 is projected to lead to the arrival of nearly 520,000 South Sudanese returnees and over 80,000 incoming refugees by December 2023. In addition, food security situation remains precarious due to flooding, ongoing conflict, displacement, and the rising cost of living. Approximately 7.1 million people (55.6 per cent of the total population) will be in crisis-level or more severe acute food insecurity especially during the lean season from April to July 2024. Communicable diseases, particularly measles along with malaria, acute watery diarrhoea and maternal and neonatal health concerns, remain major contributors to illness and death. South Sudan also grapples with severe climate change vulnerabilities, ranking as the world's second most climate-exposed nation. A staggering 95 per cent of the population relies on climate-sensitive livelihoods, heightening vulnerability to water and food scarcity, sanitation issues, and resource-related conflicts. Protracted conflicts and economic challenges severely hinder access to essential services. Only 7 per cent of the population has access to electricity, 10 per cent have improved sanitation, and 70 per cent lack basic healthcare.
Aweil West County, Northern Bahr le Ghazal State, South Sudan
A South Sudanese returnee woman sits with her two children at Wadwil transit site for returnees in Aweil West County, Northern Bahr el Ghazal State.
OCHA/Iramaku Vundru WilfredResponse priorities in 2024
In 2023, partners were able to reach 4.9 million people with at least one form of humanitarian assistance (73 per cent of those targeted). In 2024, humanitarian partners will work towards the following strategic objectives:
- Vulnerable crises-affected people have reduced morbidity and mortality through equitable, safe, and dignified access to life-saving assistance to meet their needs.
- Vulnerable crises-affected people’s protection risks are mitigated as humanitarians uphold a commitment to the centrality of protection in humanitarian action informed by communities’ priorities.
- Vulnerable people’s capacity to withstand the impact of shocks is increased, and humanitarian, development and peace collaboration opportunities are optimized.

Rubkona County, Unity State, South Sudan
A returnee woman carries water from a water point at a transit centre. Increasing numbers of people are arriving, mostly South Sudanese returnees.
OCHA/Alioune NdiayeThe target population in this response plan results from a rigorous analysis and vulnerability criteria, establishing clear boundaries for the humanitarian caseload. The HRP target for 2024 has been refined from 7.4 million people in 2023 to 6.0 million (including refugees), considering the challenges of access, security, capacity, and funding constraints. These strategic approaches ensure assistance is directed to those with the most pressing needs, also transitioning towards cost-effective cash-based interventions to promote local markets. Innovative approaches such as the Flagship Initiative and Area-Based Leadership will enhance partnerships aimed to promote community resilience. Throughout the implementation, the Inter-Cluster Coordination Group (ICCG) will maintain monthly analysis through the needs analysis working group to prioritize areas with the greatest needs.
Anticipated tensions and conflicts leading up to the 2024 presidential elections are likely to undermine humanitarian operations and access to vulnerable communities. Climate-related issues, such as the El Nino event, may persist through 2024 and potentially into 2025, causing above-average rainfall and severe floods displacing thousands of people. The looming risk of inadequate funding may force significant portions of people in crisis levels -IPC-3 into emergency levels - IPC-4 due to limited access to sustainable livelihood opportunities.
South Sudan
Severity analysis and mapping tool

The South Sudan Needs Analysis Working Group (NAWG)’s innovative severity analysis and mapping tool has been instrumental to inform cluster and partner prioritization of their response efforts. Through a predefined set of indicators, the NAWG assesses the humanitarian situation in various counties, categorizing them into different severity bands. This needs severity ranking serves as a crucial asset for clusters and their partners in their prioritization and advocacy efforts. Furthermore, the severity mapping is a valuable resource for the South Sudan Humanitarian Fund and other donors, guiding their prioritization and resource allocation decisions.